On 13 January, the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University published an article saying that Israeli intelligence believes that from the moment Tehran decides to break out to a nuclear bomb, it will take it 2 years to complete the process.  This is a fairly optimistic scenario, but is it justified?  Does Iran’s decision to resume uranium enrichment to a level of 20% influence the timetable?  The article calculates the possibilities.

If you would like to make a (polite) gesture and make a (very) modest contribution to my ongoing with my relocation, removal and computer costs, I have a page at

Author: raytodd2017

Chartered Legal Executive and former senior manager with Isle of Man Customs and Excise, where I was (amongst other things) Sanctions Officer (for UN/EU sanctions), Export Licensing Officer and Manager of the Legal-Library & Collectorate Support Section

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