On 16 September, the EU published an updated Notice on the dual-use export controls that will become applicable when the UK transition period comes to an end on 31 December – if an agreement is not reached. Guidance is also provided on the applicable rules in Northern Ireland after the end of the transition period. If there is not agreement, changes would include exports to and from the UK being treated as if third country (i.e. non-EU) with licence applications etc, and EU exporters would no longer be able to rely on licences from the UK for shipments from the EU to a third country.